Hillary Won in Iowa… But Not Really. Here’s WHY

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Last night, conservatives watched as the longtime frontrunner, Donald Trump, was bested by the scrappy junior Senator from Texas, Ted Cruz. Though some polls had Trump leading by as much as five points going into the Iowa Caucus, in truth, every political pundit worth his salt could only note that it was simply too close to call. With fractions of points at stake, any slight uptick in voter turnout could have thrown-off tenuous predictions and, indeed, the hedging predictions of a slight Trump victory proved wrong.

However, while the GOP race was interesting for conservatives, the real story last night was the Democratic race.

Martin O’Malley got his seventeen or so votes- it didn’t take a political strategy genius to see where that bid was going.

Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders, however, came within spitting distance of upsetting Hillary Clinton’s narrow victory and that is the real story of Hillary’s “win.”

Hillary squeaked by with a 49.8% to Sanders’ 49.6%.

Let that sink-in; the former first lady, two-term senator and two-time presidential candidate did her best, took every advantage and even had a sizeable (and unfair) tailwind of support coming from the DNC and still, the pantsuits aficionado could only squeak-out a slight victory over a crusty, wild-eyed socialist who has pledged to dramatically alter American economic policy to be more-in line with the disastrous economic policies of places like Greece or Spain with all of the whimsical freedoms of the former Soviet Union.

Hillary’s “victory” really wasn’t a victory at all. Of course, it would have been worse if she had lost to Sanders, but as the unquestioned frontrunner from the get-go, her inability to solidify a stronger placing is telling of her poor ground game and likely overall inability to get the job done against a more-dedicated Republican candidate in a general election- especially if that candidate is Cruz.

To offer an analogy: if I fought Manny Pacquiao and he narrowly secured a victory, would it really be a victory? Or, more likely, wouldn’t fans be deeply troubled by the fact that this supposed pro could only achieve a narrow victory over an amateur with poor form?

Late last month, the RNC noted that anything short of a resounding victory for Hillary in Iowa would spell doom for her campaign.

Clinton is fighting to hang on against a 74-year old gadfly socialist from Vermont who has managed to keep pace with her fundraising prowess with an army of small donors. As much as 90 percent of the Clinton campaign’s resources are now divided between her Brooklyn campaign headquarters and Iowa, where a loss – or even a narrow win – will send shockwaves through the Democrats’ nominating calendar. Given that Clinton is behind double digits in New Hampshire and there are growing signs of weakness in her so-called ‘southern firewall,’ it’s clear anything but a resounding win in Iowa will be a loss for her campaign.

A prolonged primary against Sanders will only pull Clinton even further to the left and prevent her from laying the groundwork for the general election. That’s a problem Republican candidates don’t have to worry about. The RNC raised more than $105 million in 2015 – a record for an off-year despite not holding the White House – and outraised the DNC by $70 million since 2013. Our massive fundraising advantage has allowed the RNC to build a permanent, data-driven ground game that has been running general election simulations since last year.

Though the RNC has not earned much credibility with conservatives in their ability to ascertain who are “electable” candidates in recent decades, the fact is that their analysis is spot-on.

Even the lapdog media that has given Hillary copious cover as she weathered scandal after scandal was alarmed at the outcome.

NBC’s Matt Lauer Called the Results In Iowa “A Near Death Experience For The Once Presumptive Nominee.”

“Let’s not ignore the Democrats. Hillary Clinton gets to come out of Iowa and say technically, I’m the winner, but, this had to be a near death experience for the once presumptive nominee,” Lauer noted.

ABC’s Cecilia Vega pointed-out,

“The big question right now, though, if Hillary Clinton is the winner in Iowa just how big of a win is it really? A Democratic socialist from Vermont putting a serious dent in the Clinton armor.”

NBC’s Andrea Mitchell Called the Iowa Caucus Results “A Tough Reality Check For Hillary Clinton.”

The National Review’s Jim Geraghty made an astute point:

“A Near-Loss Is Good Enough For Sanders. Hillary Clinton Had About Eight Years To Prepare For This Night.”

The Weekly Standard’s Stephen F. Hayes quipped:

“Stunning That Hillary Clinton’s Campaign Is Having To Spin A ‘Win’ In IA. One Year Ago Today, She Led Sanders 57 To 4.”

The list goes on and on and on…

Hillary may have earned a small victory last night, but more than anything, it highlighted the fragility of her campaign and emphasized the cracks in the dam.

alarmed at the outcome.

NBC’s Matt Lauer Called the Results In Iowa “A Near Death Experience For The Once Presumptive Nominee.”

“Let’s not ignore the Democrats. Hillary Clinton gets to come out of Iowa and say technically, I’m the winner, but, this had to be a near death experience for the once presumptive nominee,” Lauer noted.

ABC’s Cecilia Vega pointed-out,

The big question right now, though, if Hillary Clinton is the winner in Iowa just how big of a win is it really? A Democratic socialist from Vermont putting a serious dent in the Clinton armor.”

NBC’s Andrea Mitchell Called the Iowa Caucus Results “A Tough Reality Check For Hillary Clinton.”

The National Review’s Jim Geraghty made an astute point: “A Near-Loss Is Good Enough For Sanders. Hillary Clinton Had About Eight Years To Prepare For This Night.”

The Weekly Standard’s Stephen F. Hayes quipped: “Stunning That Hillary Clinton’s Campaign Is Having To Spin A ‘Win’ In IA. One Year Ago Today, She Led Sanders 57 To 4.”

The list goes on and on and on…

Hillary may have earned a small victory last night, but more than anything, it highlighted the fragility of her campaign and emphasized the cracks in the dam.

 

Hillary may have earned a small victory, but more than anything, it highlighted the fragility of her campaign and emphasized the cracks in the dam.

About the Author

Greg Campbell
Greg Campbell
An unapologetic patriot and conservative, Greg emerged within the blossoming Tea Party Movement as a political analyst dedicated to educating and advocating for the preservation of our constitutional principles and a free-market solution to problems birthed by economic liberalism. From authoring scathing commentaries to conducting interviews with some of the biggest names in politics today including party leaders, activists and conservative media personalities, Greg has worked to counter the left’s media narratives with truthful discussions of the biggest issues affecting Americans today. Greg’s primary area of focus is Second Amendment issues and the advancement of honest discussion concerning the constitutional right that protects all others. He lives in the Northwest with his wife, Heather, and enjoys writing, marksmanship and the outdoors.
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