Arizona has not voted for a Democrat in a presidential election since Bill Clinton in 1996. The Grand Canyon State has been considered to be solidly red…until now.
With the election 14 days away, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a virtual tie in Arizona. according to a Monmouth University poll. Trump is polling at 46-percent and Hillary Clinton is polling at 45-percent. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent and was taken October 21 – 24.
A few other takeaways from the poll in the now battleground state of Arizona, as broken down by Newsmax, is as follows:
- Among non-white voters, Clinton holds a 67 percent to 27 percent advantage over Trump;
- Among white voters, Trump leads 56 percent to 35 percent;
- Trump holds a 66 percent to 28 percent margin among white voters without a college degree;
- Among those who say they have already voted, Clinton has a 52 percent to 42 percent advantage. About 40 percent of those polled say they have already cast a ballot;
With Democrats having the possibility of turning Arizona blue, Hillary Clinton has sent top surrogates Bernie Sanders, Chelsea Clinton and Michelle Obama to campaign in the state. The Trump campaign announced on Tuesday that Donald Trump, Jr. will be campaigning for his father in Tempe on Thursday.
There’s no doubt that Donald Trump will allege that this poll is wrong since it doesn’t have him in the lead. Given the fact, however, that the Trump campaign is sending in his Trump, Jr. to campaign in what is typically a bright red state, there must be some concern that this poll is valid.